Bear Run, Orange Park

Market snapshot

Thirteen closings were recorded at a median of $288,000 and roughly $184 a square foot. Homes averaged 56 days on market against only 1.8 months of supply — thin inventory. The source labels it a seller's market with limited data. Median price read about 12% below the prior year, which on thirteen sales is as likely to reflect which homes sold as any real shift in value.

Market figures above are aggregated community sales data taken from the public community-data index published at the website movewithmomentum.com (an unaffiliated third party), dataset generated 2026-07-13, reflecting sales as of 2026-07-09. Figures are area aggregates, not an appraisal or a valuation of any individual home, and they change as new sales record. HOA dues, CDD fees and property taxes are NOT shown here: the only figures available for them are modelled estimates rather than recorded amounts. Ask Tim Sherman for the current recorded numbers before you rely on them.

Where it is

Open Bear Run in Google Maps

What to check before you buy here

Thin supply and a falling median at the same time usually means the mix changed — smaller or less updated homes made up more of the sales. Do not price off the median here; price off the two or three closest comparable homes. Ask about roof age and whether the home has been re-piped. Get a wind mitigation inspection done before you shop insurance — on an established Orange Park street like this one, roof age and opening protection are usually what separates a normal Citizens or private-market premium from an expensive one, and a home built before Florida's newer building code will likely need a four-point inspection before a carrier will bind.

Commute and nearby employers

Bear Run's location off Blanding Boulevard puts it inside one of the shortest reliable commutes to Naval Air Station Jacksonville in this price range — 5 to 25 minutes via Highway 17 and I-295 depending on the gate and time of day. HCA Florida Orange Park Hospital and Ascension St. Vincent's Clay, both near Blanding Boulevard and Kingsley Avenue, are close enough that hospital shift workers cross this neighborhood constantly, which is part of why thin inventory here does not sit long even in a slower month.

Schools and the flood check

Verify the current Clay County school assignment for Bear Run directly with the district's own zone finder before you rely on it — boundaries in this part of Orange Park have been redrawn before and will be again as the county keeps growing. On insurance: Bear Run is not waterfront and I am not going to dress it up as such, but it sits in Clay County near the broader river corridor, and every buyer here should still pull the FEMA flood map for the specific parcel at msc.fema.gov before closing. An established neighbourhood at this price point is exactly where an outdated flood determination can quietly cost you at the first renewal.

What thirteen sales and a falling median actually tell you

Thirteen closings is a workable sample, large enough that I do not wave it away the way I would a single sale, but still small enough that the mix of what sold matters more than the headline number. A median down 12% with only 1.8 months of supply is not the usual seller's-market story — normally thin inventory pushes price up, not down. The more likely explanation is that the homes which happened to close recently skewed smaller, older, or less updated than the Bear Run average, not that values across the board dropped that much. If you're selling, that means your specific comps matter far more than the aggregate. If you're buying, it means there may be real room to negotiate on the homes that do need work.

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Sources

Facts and figures on this page are sourced as follows. Zoning, flood-zone status and any HOA/CDD figures should always be verified for the specific address.

• FEMA Flood Map Service Center
• Clay County, Florida — official site
• Northeast Florida Association of Realtors — Market Statistics
• GreatSchools — Orange Park, FL schools